What if consumers drove the energy transition?

What if consumers drove the energy transition?

If there is one thing that we can all agree on, it’s that the consumer is now an integral part of the energy transition, writes Kelvin Ross.

Many are now proactive, engaged prosumers, choosing how their power is generated ” and some generating it themselves.

Yet others remain passive acceptors of whatever is delivered to them at the end of the energy supply chain.

So how much power could the consumer have? How much power should the consumer have?

What would they do with that power? And what can the rest of the sector do to empower them?

“If consumers drove the energy transition, our energy supply would be cheaper and cleaner at the same time,” asserts Frauke Thies, executive director of smarten, a European business association for digital and decentralised energy solutions.

Frauke-Thies on empowering consumers
“Energy users can provide flexibility, which is indispensable,” says Frauke Thies

“As of today, consumers ” or prosumers ” are already driving investments in clean energy,” she says. “For companies, onsite renewables and green energy procurement have become important investment areas. Likewise, private citizens play an increasing role through investments on site or participation in community projects.”

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She says that over the last five years, 8 GW of new renewables have been contracted in Europe through corporate power purchase agreements and at least another 10 GW have been installed onsite.

She adds that it’s estimated that by 2030, “energy communities could own up to 20 per cent of wind and solar capacity in Europe and by 2050, more than 185 million EU households could contribute to demand response, storage and renewable energy production”.

Crucially, says Thies, “energy users can also provide flexibility, which is indispensable for a renewables-based system. Flexibility from demand response, the smart management of energy resources, and storage can complement the growing variability in energy supply. A very substantial amount of industrial processes, commercial buildings, private homes and electric vehicles can be operated flexibly with only very limited investments.

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“The European Commission has assessed the potential of flexibility from demand response alone to be 160 GW by 2030 already. This will continue to grow as further sector integration unlocks flexibility potentials from electric vehicles, heating and cooling, and industry.”

And she stresses that the involvement of businesses and citizens as active participants in the energy transition “will boost societal support. If consumers are encouraged to contribute their resources and flexibility, they will not only show commitment and gain value through direct earnings or reduced energy bills, but they will also reduce costs for the system at large. A consumer-driven energy system thus benefits all users.”

Crucial models
Noàƒ«lle Fischer, chief executive of metering solutions company Blicker, agrees that “building new business models around customer experience” is crucial.

Noelle Fischer of Blicker

She says that while there isn’t a one-size-fits-all model that meets the requirements of the future market, “by creating a stronger customer relationship, and by providing data to consumers about energy usage and management, consumers appreciate and value that data, are able to cut down on costs ” and that results in a change of behaviour”.

Fischer adds that “as consumer’s values and preferences evolve, utility companies must take a proactive role in helping to shape the future of the industry. Creating a customer-centric organisation where the customer experience is the largest focus, companies become more adaptable to the changing needs and expectations of their consumers.” 

Jayson Dong, policy officer at AVERE, the European Association for Electromobility, believes that “consumers must be at the core when developing energy and mobility systems of the future, as they are key to accelerating the clean energy and mobility transition”.

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“The energy system must do more to empower citizens and remove existing barriers preventing them from taking control of their energy consumption and management.”

Dong adds that in a consumer-driven world, “citizens would be more directly engaged in, and support, the advancement of clean technologies in both the energy and zero-emission mobility sectors”.

“Sectoral integration would accelerate at a more effective rate and more people would be profiting ” for instance, from sending energy back to the grid from their electric vehicle.”

Biggest challenge
However, it is enabling this direct engagement that will be the biggest challenges, believes Jonathan Robinson, Energy Research Director for Power at consultancy Frost & Sullivan.

“Currently not enough consumers in fully-liberalised markets exercise their ability to select either the lowest cost option or the greenest option.

To overcome this, he says “we need a combination of regulatory-led initiatives, backed up by sound technology offerings, continued societal pressure, and an educational campaign on the benefits of the energy transition to consumers ” how they can do good, but crucially, how they can gain”.

Marine Cornelis, executive director of Next Energy Consumer, stresses that the most essential pillar on which to customer engagement is trust.”They must trust the energy companies, the service providers, but also the policies and overall the economy.”

“All consumers should have a chance to get on-board,” says Marine Cornelis

“It is up to all the stakeholders to create a stable and motivating environment, allowing concrete empowerment.” She adds that this means “not only supporting consumers’ journey, but also providing the tools and resources to take the driver’s seat”.

“All kind of consumers should have a chance to get on-board, therefore, we must also respect their personal circumstances and motivations, and never penalise those who are unwilling or unable to participate.”à‚ 

Venizelos Efthymiou, chairman of FOSS Research Centre for Sustainable Energy and member of the governing board of ETIP SNET (the European Technology & Innovation Platform for Smart Networks for Energy Transition) says that the power system has been on a path to “a more consumer-centric perspective” for the past two decades.

“The grid is more than ever turning into an active, digitalised, interconnected system with bi-directional flow of energy and data, facilitating the strong contribution of end users.”

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He lists several sector developments that are “paving the way for a stronger presence of end users in generating, managing and using their energy”, including solar PV, smart grid technologies, blockchain and peer-to-peer trading, plus electric mobility and its related technologies such as vehicle-to-grid and storage.

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All of these, he says, are “sowing the seeds of this emerging world with consumers at the centre of the energy transitionࢀ¦ and such seeds, once germinated, will play an important role in the transition. But they need the expert support of the grid operators, who can act as market facilitators for secure, resilient, and optimal use of all interconnected systems and sources.”

He says that “drawing the full picture requires a composite action, with well-developed and designed systems through the support of knowledge experts from the electricity industry as well as emerging actors like aggregators that will support the role of the active consumer”.

Behavioral changes
Benjamin Sovacool is professor of energy policy at the University of Sussex in the UK and Professor of Business and Social Sciences at Denmark’s Aarhus University.

What if consumers drove the energy transition?

He has been involved in research as part of the European HOPE project, which examined householdà‚ preferences for reducing greenhouse gasà‚ emissions in four European cities in France, Germany, Norway and Sweden.à‚ 

And from this research he says he has acquired “a rich insight into how behavioral changes from consumers themselves ” when they are empowered ” can achieve substantial reductions of greenhouse gas emissions”.

Sovacool says that “it is clear that car and plane mobility, meat and dairy consumption, and heating are the most dominant components of household footprints.

However, most interestingly, household living situations such as demographics and size of home, greatly influence household reduction potential, whereas there was no difference found for country location. This implies the power of demographics trumps the power of space, place, or country.”

Moreover, he says household decisions “can be sequential, temporally dynamic and impacted by major life events such as falling ill, retiring, or having children. Short-term voluntary efforts will not be sufficient by themselves to achieve drastic reductions at the scale needed to achieve the 1.5à‚°C goal.”

Instead, he says households will “need regulatory frameworks supporting their behavior changes, at least to get emission reductions beyond 50 per cent. In other terms, households will use their power to voluntarily cut about half of their footprints ” but they need inducement to go the rest of the way.”

Lop-sided and expensive
However, Mark Howitt, chief technology officer and co-founding director of UK compressed air energy storage firm Storelectric, has a more cautious approach to engaging the consumer.

“If consumers drove the energy transition, then it would be lop-sided, expensive and short-term focused,” he states.

Lop-sided, he says, because “a consumer-led approach would be led by those who can afford it and  are most vocal and engaged; those who cannot afford it or are not engaged or vocal ” maybe because they don’t have the time or resource ” will not have their needs taken into account and would therefore be left behind and disadvantaged”.

He also believes that a consumer approach is short-termist: “Consumers focus on now and the next few years ” grid assets take years or decades to build and more decades to amortise, so need a multi-decade focus and remuneration system”.

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